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Pasting what I wrote on the Pack because it is applicable here as well with all the discussion about whether to pitch Stratton or hold him...
It's a popular opinion that losing game 1 or 2 are identical, under the reasoning that the same number of games are played either way. My baseball background left me with a feeling that disagreed with this, although I'd never conclusively researched it. So, I looked at the numbers to either prove or deny it.
Since the field expanded to 64 teams in 1999, there have been 208 regionals played.
- 40 have been won by teams that lost either their first or second game. (19%)
- Of these 40 winners, 25 lost their second game(62.5%). 15 lost their first game(37.5%).
- IF you lose your first regional game, your chance of winning the regional drops to 7%.
- IF you lose your second regional game, your chance of winning the regional drops to 12%.
Clearly, you don't want to lose either of these games. However, just over 3x a year, a team comes out of the loser's bracket to win a regional. Statistically, 2 of those 3 teams will have lost their 2nd game instead of their first. Hence why the 1st game is the most important overall.
Nice statistical breakdown!
" A Vasectomy means never having to tell her your sorry "
Very nice. Now go fetch us some data on the recruiting effectiveness of lower tier asst. coaches relative to the appearance of they wimmins.
Please include photos if you do undertake TNDog's request
What are your chances of winning the regional if you lose your 1st AND 2nd game? You seemed to have left that one out.
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